منابع مشابه
Bayesian Calibration of Microsimulation Models.
Microsimulation models that describe disease processes synthesize information from multiple sources and can be used to estimate the effects of screening and treatment on cancer incidence and mortality at a population level. These models are characterized by simulation of individual event histories for an idealized population of interest. Microsimulation models are complex and invariably include...
متن کاملCalibration of Microsimulation Models forMultimodal Freight Networks
® The contents of this report reflect the views of the authors, who are responsible for the facts and the accuracy of the information presented herein. This document is disseminated under the sponsorship of the Department of Transportation University Transportation Centers Program, in the interest of information exchange. 16. Abstract This research presents a framework for incorporating the uni...
متن کاملBayesian Calibration of Complex Computer Models
We consider prediction and uncertainty analysis for systems which are approximated using complex mathematical codes. Such models, implemented as computer codes, are often generic in the sense that by suitable choice of some of the model's input parameters the code can be used to predict behaviour of the system in a variety of speciic applications. However, in any speciic application the values ...
متن کاملThe Istat Microsimulation Models
The aim of this paper is to relate the new microeconometric model on households developed by Istat to the development of the static and behavioural models presented in the literature. Both a survey on the international experiences and a focus on the implication of the static model for policy evaluation are presented.
متن کامل2 Technical Memorandum on Calibration / Validation of Traffic Microsimulation Models Prepared for Orange County Transportation Authority
Traffic simulation models have been increasingly utilized for the evaluation of traffic control systems and the prediction of future traffic conditions. Recent enhancements in computational capability have led to the development of high fidelity microscopic simulation models and this has accelerated their application in traffic engineering and, increasingly, in transportation planning. Microsco...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of the American Statistical Association
سال: 2009
ISSN: 0162-1459,1537-274X
DOI: 10.1198/jasa.2009.ap07466